Archive for March, 2009

A Rising Tide Lifts All Boats…

The second year reports of the legislatively mandated longitudinal study of the Milwaukee Parental Choice Program (MPCP) are out.    Despite what the headline writers at the Journal Sentinel say, there is more to this than just Choice students and MPS students are performing at roughly the same level. Dig a little deeper and look what you find:

1. All school children in Milwaukee are doing better because of the Milwaukee School Choice Program (MPCP). Patrick Wolf, principal investigator of the School Choice Demonstration Project, remarked that the Choice Program “has produced a rising tide that has lifted all boats”. Back when the program started, many involved hoped competition would help MPS improve.

2. John Witte, “the nation’s foremost academic authority on the MPCP”, reports that, among a large group of MPCP and MPS students statistically matched for reporting purposes, the “achievement growth in the MPCP panel tended to be somewhat higher than the average achievement growth in the MPS panel”. Witte does caution that the comparisons at this point are preliminary but it is still worth noting.

3. For the second year in a row, Choice students trailed their counterparts at MPS on the Wisconsin Knowledge and Concepts Exam (WKCE) in the 4th grade but by the 8th grade the Choice students scored higher on the test. Choice kids seem to be trending the right way.

We will have much more to say on this topic in the days to come…

All of the reports can be found here: http://www.uaedreform.org/SCDP/Milwaukee_Research.html

School Choice Wisconsin put out this release: http://www.schoolchoicewi.org/currdev/detail.cfm?id=296

Alternative Teacher Certification, A Way To Improve Education, Help Minorities

State policymakers who are interested in improving the quality of teaching in Wisconsin’s public schools should consider offering an effective alternative form of teacher certification, according to a research report released today by the MacIver Institute for Public Policy. Genuine alternative teacher certification will expand the pool of talented teachers, get more minority teachers in the classroom, and address potential shortages for math and science teachers, the report concludes.

The MacIver Poll: Wisconsinites Overwhelmingly Support Spending Cuts Over Tax Increases

MADISON – By overwhelming numbers, Wisconsinites think state government should cut spending rather than raise taxes to close the state’s nearly six billion dollar budget deficit according to a new statewide survey conducted for the MacIver Institute for Public Policy.

“Wisconsinites of every political stripe are united in their belief that less spending is the best way to cut the deficit,” said pollster Gene Ulm.  “They oppose by a more than three to one margin the Governor’s plan to increase spending by eight percent in the next state budget. The people of Wisconsin believe state government should follow their lead and cut back in these tight times.”

According to Ulm, 83% of the people polled believe the best way to cut the deficit is to cut spending. Only 15% believe the state should focus on raising taxes to help balance the budget. In addition, 75% of the people polled oppose the Governor’s plan to increase the state budget by nearly eight percent, while only 22% thought that was a good idea. The MacIver poll of 500 likely voters in Wisconsin was conducted late last month by Public Opinion Strategies, one of the nation’s largest and most respected political and public issue survey firms.  The poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.38%.

Voters oppose most of Doyle’s tax increases

The MacIver Poll respondents were overwhelming in their belief that Governor Doyle’s budget is going about solving the budget crisis in the wrong way.

•    78% of the respondents say they oppose the budget plan, which raises taxes by more than two billion dollars.
•    73% oppose the budget plan to increase Wisconsin’s current tax on businesses and other employers.
•    70% oppose the Governor’s plan to allow local governments to raise property tax levies by 3% rather than 2%.
•    61% oppose the Governor’s budget proposal to raise the capital gains tax by $180 million.

However, voters are willing to support tax increases they feel they are unlikely to pay.

•    53% support extending the sales tax to purchases of Wisconsin products by out-of-state buyers
•    62% support the Governor’s plan to raise income taxes on individuals making more than $225,000 and couples earning more than $300,000.
•    65% endorse the Governor’s proposed increase in the cigarette tax from $1.77 to $2.52 per pack.

“As a general rule, voters don’t like taxes they think they will have to pay,” said Ulm. “But if they think someone else will be stuck covering the costs, then voters may be more willing to accept the tax increase.”

Residents want the state to hold the line on spending

The survey also strongly indicates that residents want state government to curb its spending.

•    74% of residents oppose the Governor’s plan to add 946 positions to state government over the next two years.
•    64% oppose the Governor’s proposal to extend taxpayer funded health care benefits to unmarried partners of state and university employees.
•    51% oppose the Governor’s plan to lift the 3.8% cap on increases in teachers’ salaries and benefits.

The poll is much less clear-cut on whom or what to blame for the current deficit. According to the study, 35% of residents blame the state’s budget woes on the downturn in Wisconsin’s job and economic situation. 19% of the respondents blame Governor Doyle for the budget shortfall, while 15% blame the state legislature as a whole.  12% blame only the Democrats in the legislature, while 9% say the Republicans in the legislature are to blame.

The study was commissioned by The MacIver Institute for Public Policy.  The MacIver Institute is a free market think tank using a fresh and innovative approach to advance the idea that individual freedom, limited government, and personal responsibility are the best principles for the development of effective public policies in Wisconsin.

Link to PowerPoint Presentation

The MacIver Poll: Sour Economy Remains Top Concern for Wisconsin Families

MADISON – The economy remains the number one concern for state residents, with 64% saying it is the single most important problem they face today according to a new poll released today by the MacIver Institute for Public Policy.

“The economy is the only issue right now,” said Gene Ulm a partner with Public Opinion Strategies, the firm that conducted the study for the MacIver Institute.  “People are worried about their money, they’re worried about their job, and they’re not sure when things are going to get better.”

When asked “what is the single most important problem” facing them and their families, 64% of state residents said the economy – far more than any other issue.  15% of residents said their top concern was health care while 6% said taxes.  Even fewer residents chose crime, education, state and local government or the environment as the most important problem.  The portion of residents listing the economy as their top concern has risen 17 percentage points since a similar survey was conducted in May of 2008.

Most say state and nation are on the wrong track

“People are upset; they’re angry; they think things have gotten seriously off track” said Ulm.  “The overall mood remains sour.”  Indeed, 65% of those surveyed say things in this country “have gotten off on the wrong track.”   An almost equal number – 64% – say things in Wisconsin are on the “wrong track.”  Just 28% of state residents think the country is going in the right direction while 29% believe the state is headed in the right direction.

That negativity carries over into their outlook for the future. Only 37% of the respondents feel the economy will be better one year from now. 43% feel things will be about the same, and 17% think the economic situation will be even worse in 12-months.

The survey of 500 likely voters in Wisconsin was conducted in late February, and has a margin of error of +/- 4.38%.

Stimulus was too big but Wisconsinites hopeful it will work

Voters aren’t quite sure what to make of the Federal Stimulus plan.  A slim majority believe the package will help, but nearly the same percentage of respondents believe the package spends too much money. 53% of likely voters say the federal plan costs too much.  31% say the cost is just about right.

At the same time, 52% of those surveyed believe the stimulus plan will help.  25% believe it will make things worse, and 19% say the plan will have little or no impact on the current crisis.  Breaking down the numbers, Democrats are more likely to feel the stimulus plan will help the economy, and Republicans are more likely to believe the plan will make things worse.

Ulm’s firm is one of the nation’s largest political and public issue survey firms. They were commissioned by the MacIver Institute to conduct the survey.

Link to PowerPoint Presentation

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